has formally abandoning its 40 yearlong policy of strategic engagement with Beijing and embraced an as-yet-undefined concept of strategic competition. This includes a renewed strategic partnership with Russia.īut in this new fifth period of the relationship, the U.S. ![]() Phase four has been marked by the rise of Xi Jinping's and an economically self-confident China, one emerging from the shadows and exercising a more assertive foreign and security policy across Asia and the globe. ![]() Phase three spanned 20 years of economic engagement, highlighted by China's accession to the World Trade Organization in 2001-2, China's emergence as the global factory, until the end of the global financial crisis. strategic collaboration against Moscow until the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Phase two covered the next 20 years of Sino-U.S. Phase one covered the quarter century of strategic hostility from the founding of the People's Republic until rapprochement under Nixon and Kissinger. I wrote earlier this year in a report entitled "The Avoidable War" that in 2018, a major new inflection point was passed in the postwar relationship between the U.S. Making sense of how it may provoke a wider economic "decoupling," and impact the long-term strategic relationship between Beijing and Washington, is more difficult again. ![]() Making sense of the U.S.-China trade war is difficult in itself. (The following is the full text of ASPI President Kevin Rudd's op-ed originally published in Nikkei Asian Review.)
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